{"id":37145,"date":"2026-09-12T19:50:00","date_gmt":"2026-09-12T23:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/?p=37145"},"modified":"2026-09-12T19:50:00","modified_gmt":"2026-09-12T23:50:00","slug":"tracy-arm-alaska-landslide-tsunami-runup-glacier-retreat-precursors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/tracy-arm-alaska-landslide-tsunami-runup-glacier-retreat-precursors\/37145\/","title":{"rendered":"About 84 million cubic yards of rock came off an Alaska fjord wall and drove a landslide tsunami almost a third of a mile up the opposite slope, but the only things lost were a kayak and a camp"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A narrow fjord in southeast Alaska, gray water, cliffs on both sides, low cloud sitting on them.<\/p>\n<p>High on one wall there is a line where the forest simply stops.<\/p>\n<p>Above it, trees. Below it, bare scoured rock and splintered stumps, for a thousand feet down to the water.<\/p>\n<p>Nothing burned and nothing was cut. Something came through and took the mountainside off.<\/p>\n<p>It happened&nbsp;<strong>before six<\/strong>&nbsp;in the morning.<\/p>\n<p>There was&nbsp;<strong>nobody there<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>Why a retreating glacier drops a mountain into the sea<\/h2>\n<p>A glacier filling a valley does more than sit in it. It presses outward against the rock walls on either side.<\/p>\n<p>That pressure holds fractured slopes in place, and geologists call the support buttressing because the ice works the way a buttress on a cathedral does.<\/p>\n<p>When the ice thins and pulls back, the support goes with it, and a slope that has been held for centuries is suddenly free to move.<\/p>\n<p>The rock does not fall the moment the ice leaves. It creeps, opens its fractures, and finds the surface it will eventually slide on.<\/p>\n<p>Here the glacier below the slope retreated sharply across a single week at the end of July, and the wall came down five days later.<\/p>\n<p>The trigger was&nbsp;<strong>the ice leaving<\/strong>, not&nbsp;<strong>an earthquake arriving<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>What the fjord looks like now<\/h2>\n<p>The mass that came off is put at roughly 84 million cubic yards, which is enough to bury a square mile of ground more than 50 feet deep.<\/p>\n<p>Its crown sat over 3,280 feet above the water, so the whole block had that far to accelerate before it hit anything.<\/p>\n<p>The landslide tsunami it pushed out broke at around 328 feet where it left the impact zone.<\/p>\n<p>Two miles away, directly across the fjord, water climbed the opposite wall to about 1,578 feet above sea level and stripped it bare.<\/p>\n<p>An island further down the arm lost nearly all of its vegetation, and the trimline left behind is visible from a boat today.<\/p>\n<p>The scar is&nbsp;<strong>permanent<\/strong>&nbsp;and the fjord now has&nbsp;<strong>a different shape<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>Where the numbers come from and what they rank against<\/h2>\n<p>The event carried no earthquake, but it shook the ground hard enough to register across the regional seismic network.<\/p>\n<p>Seismologists put the energy at the equivalent of a magnitude 5.4 earthquake, which is how the timing was fixed to the minute at 5:26 in the morning.<\/p>\n<p>A federal tide gauge in Juneau, tens of miles away, logged a maximum of about 14 inches above the normal tide, with wave activity continuing for hours.<\/p>\n<p>The runup figure of 1,578 feet is the second highest ever measured anywhere, behind a 1958 event in another Alaskan bay that reached about 1,730 feet.<\/p>\n<p>The work was led from a Canadian university and published with eighteen authors, which is what a measurement of this kind takes.<\/p>\n<p>One instrument network gave&nbsp;<strong>the clock<\/strong>, and field survey gave&nbsp;<strong>the height<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>The days of warning nobody was listening for<\/h2>\n<p>Here is the part that matters beyond this one fjord, and it was found in the seismic record afterward rather than at the time.<\/p>\n<p>For days before the collapse the slope was producing small signals, each roughly the size of a magnitude 1 or 2 tremor, arriving about once an hour.<\/p>\n<p>Six hours before failure the interval collapsed to every 30 to 60 seconds.<\/p>\n<p>In the final two hours the signals merged into continuous vibration, which is a slope sliding on its failure surface rather than cracking.<\/p>\n<p>That escalation is a recognizable pattern, and it means a slope of this kind can announce itself if somebody is watching the right instrument.<\/p>\n<p>Careful measurement keeps replacing folklore, the way a catalog of sightings found no earthquake link for&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/giant-oarfish-taiwan-divers-earthquake-record\/35225\/\">giant oarfish<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The volume, the runup and the agencies involved are set out by&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/programs\/landslide-hazards\/science\/2025-tracy-arm-landslide-generated-tsunami\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">the federal survey<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A readable warning is&nbsp;<strong>worth nothing<\/strong>&nbsp;without&nbsp;<strong>a monitored slope<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2>How close it actually came<\/h2>\n<p>This fjord is a cruise destination, and boats carrying hundreds of passengers work the same water most summer days.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple ships had been in the arm the day before. On the morning itself the weather was wet and the hour was early, so nobody was ashore.<\/p>\n<p>A seismologist on the study described it plainly as dodging a bullet, which is unusually direct language for a scientific coauthor.<\/p>\n<p>What was lost was a kayak and a camp belonging to paddlers at the mouth of the arm, whose gear was swept off the shore.<\/p>\n<p>Tour operators have since stopped running the fjord altogether and moved their trips to the arm next door.<\/p>\n<p>Water can turn dangerous in places people treat as scenery, the way&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/great-lakes-waterspouts-fall-clouds\/36435\/\">warm water<\/a>&nbsp;spins up funnels under ordinary fall clouds.<\/p>\n<p>The precursor signals and the warning about retreating ice are described by&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.gi.alaska.edu\/news\/study-2025-alaska-landslide-and-tsunami-contains-warnings\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the Alaskan institute<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The scar is still shedding rock, and the next one will land in&nbsp;<strong>the same water<\/strong>&nbsp;with&nbsp;<strong>nobody watching<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A narrow fjord in southeast Alaska, gray water, cliffs on both sides, low cloud sitting on them. High on one wall there is a line where the forest simply stops. Above it, trees. Below it, bare scoured rock and splintered stumps, for a thousand feet down to the water. Nothing burned and nothing was cut. &#8230; <a title=\"About 84 million cubic yards of rock came off an Alaska fjord wall and drove a landslide tsunami almost a third of a mile up the opposite slope, but the only things lost were a kayak and a camp\" class=\"read-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/tracy-arm-alaska-landslide-tsunami-runup-glacier-retreat-precursors\/37145\/\" aria-label=\"Read more about About 84 million cubic yards of rock came off an Alaska fjord wall and drove a landslide tsunami almost a third of a mile up the opposite slope, but the only things lost were a kayak and a camp\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":37153,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_focus_keyword":"Alaska","rank_math_title":"About 84 million cubic yards of rock came off an Alaska fjord wall and drove a landslide tsunami almost a third of a mile up the opposite slope, but the only things lost were a kayak and a camp","rank_math_description":"A landslide above Alaska's Tracy Arm on August 10, 2025 sent a wave 1,578 feet up a fjord wall. Three kayakers lost their gear but were unharmed. Here's t","footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37145","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37145","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/28"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37145"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37145\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":37285,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37145\/revisions\/37285"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/37153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37145"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37145"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ecoportal.net\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37145"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}